the vice president Cristina Kirchner is located as the preferred option for the people of Buenos Aires in the prelude to the elections 2023, despite the fact that the Frente de Todos has not yet defined the candidacies. On the other side of the spectrum Patricia Bullrichone of the protagonists of the electoral contest in which she will try to wrest the representation of Together for Change from Horacio Rodriguez Larreta in the primaries.
According to the latest report from the consultancy Federico González and Associatesthe head of Kirchnerism and her PRO counterpart would obtain the 16.9% and 10.1% (respectively) of the Buenos Aires votes in the Simultaneous and Mandatory Open Primaries (PASO) on August 13. The study is based on 1,400 cases from the entire province (without specifying the locations of the respondents) carried out between May 16 and 18, which contemplates a margin of error of +/- 2.7%.
Beyond the difference in electoral preferences between the interior and the suburbs, the survey throws some lines regarding the intention to vote in the main electoral district of the country within the framework of a strong polarization between the two main coalitions.
The secret food of Cristina Kirchner, Axel Kicillof and Sergio Massa
of the great interns
For his part, he Front of All He has not yet defined the strategy to retain the power of La Rosada after four years of the management of Alberto Fernandez. He also did not decide on the pre-candidacies in the midst of the internal differences and reproaches that have confronted the high and medium commands of the tripartite front in recent years.
Thinking of a great Peronist inmate, Sergio Massa would get the 8.4% of the votes, Meanwhile he president would barely reach 4.9%. For his part, it is not yet known if Fernández will step aside in search of a higher bidder to prevent Peronism -in all its forms- from losing re-election for the first time in its history. However, with these numbers, the candidate who is best positioned to contest re-election would be Cristina Kirchner, who measures almost 17 percentage points in voting intention.
Jumping over the ideological pond, Together for Change has its own considering the discussions between the “hard” wing, framed in Bullrich and the “moderate” wing, associated Rodriguez Larreta. With the 7.5% intention to vote, the Buenos Aires head of government would remain in the race to dispute the Rivadavia seat in favor of the PRO president, with whom he had several crosses in recent years.
The only one who could break the intra-party polarization marked by Bullrich and Larreta is their political leader, former president Mauricio Macri. Although he has not yet defined whether or not he will run as a candidate for president, the founder of the PRO would obtain the 6.7% of the votes, lo that it would not be enough to win the internal one of the province of gigantic magnitudes known as “the mother of all battles”.
What does the Buenos Aires survey say that gives Frente de Todos the winner for the presidential elections?
On the other hand, if the primary elections were held today, considering the sum of all the pre-candidates, the ruling party would obtain 33.6% of the votes compared to 32.3% for Together for Change, which also includes the radical candidates Facundo Manes and Gerardo Morales. The result throws a virtual technical tie in the province of Buenos Aires, considered until not long ago as a Peronist bastion par excellence.
Fernando Burlando, the libertarian surprise in Buenos Aires
La Libertad Avanza, the party of the national deputy, consolidates as the third force in the province of Buenos Aires. Javier Milei, with 18.3%. Milei’s popularity remains high despite the fact that she has not yet decided whether he will run for president.
Nor did it transcend which candidate for Buenos Aires governor he will support in the next elections. Among the names are Fernando Burlandothe famous lawyer who He launched his candidacy with a bizarre spot. According to those surveyed, it would get the 11.7% of the votes in case of competing within the libertarian space, beating even José Luis Espert (8,2%).
In addition, Burlando is considered the third “most qualified” candidate to govern the province of Buenos Aires, behind the governor Axel Kicillof and the larretista candidate Diego Santilli. However, the approach of the lawyer in the Báez Sosa case to Milei was denied to PROFILE by a source close to the libertarian leader.
cd / cp / ed
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