He former president’s announcement Mauricio Macri about your decision of not being a candidate in these elections It generated movements in the political arena, from which repercussions are still expected. While it is unknown where their votes could be redirected, a poll from just days before he made his determination public shows that more than 60 percent of Macri’s voters Could you vote for Patricia Bullrich? for the presidency.
The data comes from a study of Politicians in Networkswhich was carried out between March 20 and 24 and analyzed the responses of 2,071 effective cases –using Social Listening techniques and a questionnaire to mobile devices– in people over 16 years of age in Argentina.
After Macri’s resignation, there is much speculation about the possibility that he will give the go-ahead to one of the pre-candidates of his political space, and Patricia Bullrich could be that leader.
Macri got off: he will not be a candidate for president and asked to “enlarge” Together for Change
According to the analysis of the consultancy directed by Guillermo Vagni, 66.7% of those consulted said they would vote for the former Minister of Security in case Mauricio Macri was not a candidate this 2023. It remains to be seen if that photo is maintained: mainly after the announcement, and in the months of the campaign to reach the polls.
Far from that percentage are the head of Government of the City of Buenos Aires, Horacio Rodriguez Larretawho has already announced that she wants to run for the presidency (according to the survey, she would be left with 11.3% of Macri’s votes) and the deputy is located in a similar percentage Mary Eugenia Vidal, with 10.6%, who have not yet confirmed their candidacy but everything indicates that they could compete.
The survey also indicates that, even within Together for Change -if Mauricio Macri had played- Bullrich also concentrated the largest volume of votes: he was in first place with 51.6% while the former president, in second place , added 21.9%.
The FdT without Macri in front: What happens now with the candidacies of Alberto Fernández and Cristina Kirchner?
Front of All and Together for Change: how much each force adds up
According to the opinion study, Together for Change “is currently the political space with the greatest intention to vote for president,” with 31.1% of the preferences.
The Front of All follows him with 27.8%and in third place the libertarians, the force of Javier Milei, who adds up to 26.7%.
What happens if Cristina Kirchner is not a candidate?
Among the 27.8% of people consulted who said they would vote for the Frente de Todos, 72.7% stated that the chosen candidate would be the vice president Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner.
In the case of a scenario where she stands by the announcement she made last December, when she assured that will not be a candidate for any positionthe most elected leader would be the Minister of Economy, Sergio Massaaccording to the consultant.
With 22.2%, the Tigrense prevails over the rest of the possible pre-candidates of the ruling party and thus surpasses maximum kirchner (19,8%), a Edward “Wado” of PeterMinister of the Interior, (18.1%) already Daniel Scioli (16,1%).
In this possible approach, the two leaders with the least possibilities would be the president Alberto Fernandez adds 7.2% and Juan Manzur 1.7%. 14% expressed their indecision about this possibility.
The full study:
AG / ED
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